TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers56c20,983$11,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,232.6927948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals15c10,203$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.512,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals44c9,358$4,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,117.5541850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals44c7,777$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.8899149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Dodgers79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0509862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals14c3,191$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.151,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals17c2,796$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.119,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals44c2,331$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.582,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Dodgers55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Cardinals45c1,990$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.54744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Cardinals14c1,784$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.112025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Cardinals9c1,151$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.212335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals45c1,126$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6123752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cardinals44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals3c854.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers55c786.17$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.2843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Cardinals3c775.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7525511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals2c736.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.765053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Cardinals3c646.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.712488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals44c644.5$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5826453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals44c606.83$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2675,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x766c…2377backed Dodgers56c534.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22595950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Cardinals45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22532042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers54c494.61$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Dodgers55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5518247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Dodgers55c436.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.647549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Cardinals5c408.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals16c392.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.851,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Cardinals15c374.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.543135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals43c336.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…52bcbacked Dodgers56c305.55$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals9c296.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.762346.2%288 W · 335 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers55c238$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9242452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals42c236.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Cardinals46c228.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers56c228.57$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals30c201.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Cardinals45c181.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.817554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers53c180.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Cardinals11c167.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18a8…59e3backed Cardinals16c166.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.642634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Dodgers56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6619849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Cardinals14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Cardinals20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals9c135$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb24…d51abacked Dodgers56c119$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb3…19f6backed Cardinals44c119$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals45c115$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.751,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Dodgers56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1422958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Cardinals40c101$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.417732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e6…4979backed Dodgers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Cardinals46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f91…64a5backed Dodgers56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x217a…296fbacked Cardinals44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…d29ebacked Dodgers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20aa…206abacked Cardinals44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769d…42cfbacked Dodgers56c93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac46…ca4abacked Dodgers55c92.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.734245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Dodgers55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.524250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44dd…7153backed Cardinals46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3765549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbdc…d76dbacked Dodgers56c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ca…8742backed Cardinals44c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e18…445dbacked Dodgers56c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09e…b3e1backed Cardinals44c83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99af…c4e1backed Cardinals44c81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ae…5835backed Dodgers56c81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x916d…4d43backed Cardinals44c79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d5…155dbacked Dodgers56c79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3e…4e0bbacked Cardinals44c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076f…edcfbacked Dodgers56c72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Dodgers56c65.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.77663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Dodgers54c63.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.933349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x676d…9e4cbacked Cardinals44c63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae0…ad8fbacked Dodgers56c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…1106backed Dodgers65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.542050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals45c61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.452,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3d…5bdfbacked Cardinals49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6e…5f22backed Dodgers55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa4…b57abacked Dodgers56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals46c49.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cardinals44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3623545.5%107 W · 128 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8694455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1009…9ad0backed Cardinals46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Dodgers51c41.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4419650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…ab8fbacked Dodgers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0913260.6%80 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Dodgers57c34.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8412249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cardinals45c31.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.331,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.