CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf00a56a2249049b0d7482c900afcdbdbb3ca88e5611c9702ea2adc569ccfa4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Fluxo | 49c | 7,148$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.85 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 3,150$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed FlyQuest | 67c | 2,159$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.06 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo | 28c | 2,102$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Fluxo | 25c | 1,587$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fluxo | 33c | 1,275$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fluxo | 2c | 934$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed FlyQuest | 75c | 794$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed FlyQuest | 75c | 661.52$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.38 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Fluxo | 26c | 653.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed FlyQuest | 74c | 447.3$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed FlyQuest | 77c | 424.41$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Fluxo | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FlyQuest | 74c | 347.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…3ed5backed Fluxo | 7c | 331.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fluxo | 49c | 309.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 234$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Fluxo | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FlyQuest | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Fluxo | 47c | 213.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked FlyQuest | 63c | 201.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Fluxo | 18c | 185.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed FlyQuest | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…d4d9backed Fluxo | 11c | 138.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Fluxo | 41c | 129.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…cd13backed FlyQuest | 49c | 125.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…07d8backed Fluxo | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…e400backed Fluxo | 38c | 97.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FlyQuest | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed FlyQuest | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked Fluxo | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Fluxo | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Fluxo | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed FlyQuest | 49c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo (BO3)FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.