CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8b0ad24d8dc0643a136c45b85d9b59eadefbbdffafdc99dd92c98181e690fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Fluxo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed FlyQuest | 68c | 17,084$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,534.36 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed FlyQuest | 59c | 11,254$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Fluxo | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Fluxo | 33c | 9,500$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fluxo | 19c | 8,826$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.12 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Fluxo | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo | 36c | 4,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fluxo | 9c | 3,344$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fluxo | 21c | 2,924$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.01 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Fluxo | 7c | 2,262$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Fluxo | 6c | 1,971$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo | 26c | 1,857$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed FlyQuest | 77c | 1,622$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.14 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed FlyQuest | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Fluxo | 12c | 865.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2960backed Fluxo | 8c | 854.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…3ed5backed Fluxo | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed FlyQuest | 74c | 700$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed FlyQuest | 60c | 658.33$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.33 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed FlyQuest | 67c | 551.52$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Fluxo | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fluxo | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…bb84backed Fluxo | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fluxo | 7c | 360.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FlyQuest | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked FlyQuest | 67c | 298.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Fluxo | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FlyQuest | 80c | 213$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Fluxo | 9c | 212.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Fluxo | 32c | 206.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed FlyQuest | 68c | 206.06$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Fluxo | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Fluxo | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Fluxo | 6c | 185.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed FlyQuest | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FlyQuest | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 142.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…48aabacked FlyQuest | 65c | 97.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…d96dbacked Fluxo | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed FlyQuest | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed FlyQuest | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed FlyQuest | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…6eebbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked FlyQuest | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo (BO3)FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.