Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Edward Winter vs Aidan Kim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6c237c4dc2cad43535baa4340cb874afa4c16a6f7d163a2d87092e75d3dad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edward Winterof Edward Winter, Aidan Kim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aidan Kim | 7c | 1,632$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Edward Winter | 68c | 732.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aidan Kim | 9c | 722.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Edward Winter | 45c | 510.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Edward Winter | 55c | 503.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Aidan Kim | 55c | 485.55$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Aidan Kim | 46c | 377.17$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aidan Kim | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Edward Winter | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Edward Winter | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Aidan Kim | 55c | 104.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Aidan Kim | 55c | 99.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Edward Winter | 75c | 89.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aidan Kim | 21c | 82.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Aidan Kim | 54c | 73.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Aidan Kim | 16c | 64.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Aidan Kim | 18c | 59.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Edward Winter | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Edward Winter | 46c | 47.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Edward Winter | 45c | 47.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Aidan Kim | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Edward Winter | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Aidan Kim | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Aidan Kim | 53c | 34.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Aidan Kim | 38c | 33.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Edward Winter | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Edward Winter | 46c | 28.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Edward Winter | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Aidan Kim | 55c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.