Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Paulina Montiel vs Gabriella Price
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd9d9740f059f943bc42c812f227cae5dccc30b3f1127d2b147e891ee80eed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriella Priceof Paulina Montiel, Gabriella Price
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Paulina Montiel | 8c | 14,911$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.7 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paulina Montiel | 14c | 7,228$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paulina Montiel | 6c | 4,513$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Paulina Montiel | 8c | 3,456$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.65 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paulina Montiel | 18c | 2,146$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paulina Montiel | 8c | 2,107$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paulina Montiel | 9c | 1,218$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Paulina Montiel | 8c | 1,002$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Paulina Montiel | 9c | 883.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Paulina Montiel | 11c | 736.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Paulina Montiel | 15c | 599.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Paulina Montiel | 12c | 565.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Paulina Montiel | 13c | 490.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Paulina Montiel | 7c | 400.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Paulina Montiel | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Paulina Montiel | 9c | 246.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…3220backed Paulina Montiel | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Paulina Montiel | 14c | 216$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paulina Montiel | 9c | 214$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Paulina Montiel | 13c | 146.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Paulina Montiel | 16c | 91.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paulina Montiel | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.