Tennis · resolved market
ITF San Diego: Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin vs Anya Arora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfee6101b289359c8f5c70e882a0558acc54dbd348df1c5f1db9a241b93ad939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anya Aroraof Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin, Anya Arora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anya Arora | 60c | 15,934$9,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.54 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 47c | 6,281$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.41 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 43c | 1,737$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.93 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 39c | 1,481$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.83 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 39c | 1,472$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.83 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 29c | 1,416$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 38c | 1,381$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.62 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 23c | 1,341$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.77 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 38c | 1,180$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.24 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 35c | 971.1$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anya Arora | 75c | 849.33$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 32c | 724.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 25c | 432.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Anya Arora | 77c | 408.35$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anya Arora | 66c | 335.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 33c | 324.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 24c | 316.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Anya Arora | 77c | 255$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Anya Arora | 56c | 237$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 30c | 199.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Anya Arora | 58c | 161.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Anya Arora | 79c | 145.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Anya Arora | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Anya Arora | 71c | 138.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 26c | 131.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Anya Arora | 52c | 116.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Anya Arora | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Anya Arora | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | 47c | 88.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Anya Arora | 61c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Anya Arora | 78c | 64.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Anya Arora | 61c | 51.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Anya Arora | 66c | 34.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Anya Arora | 80c | 32.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Anya Arora | 69c | 28.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Anya Arora | 56c | 28.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Anya Arora | 78c | 23.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Anya Arora | 74c | 21.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Anya Arora | 78c | 18.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Anya Arora | 78c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.