La Liga · resolved market
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03c49cf3fa930a7c116e542ded868fa64ea58e5275109f55b8f8f85e8514ecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albacete Balompiéof UD Las Palmas, Albacete Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked UD Las Palmas | 40c | 1,591$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.13 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Albacete Balompié | 60c | 799.35$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Albacete Balompié | 60c | 514.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.87 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Albacete Balompié | 66c | 275.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed UD Las Palmas | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Albacete Balompié | 55c | 199.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Albacete Balompié | 63c | 173.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Albacete Balompié | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83c…7dc3backed UD Las Palmas | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed UD Las Palmas | 40c | 58.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed UD Las Palmas | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Albacete Balompié | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed UD Las Palmas | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed UD Las Palmas | 59c | 48.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed UD Las Palmas | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked UD Las Palmas | 53c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked UD Las Palmas | 47c | 25.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed Albacete Balompié | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Albacete Balompié | 71c | 14.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)this page
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: UD Las Palmas O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.