La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d4388294c7e47654240afac96b5184ec3cfc3dcf72b5c3d7bde5fd5d3e46db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,809$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…1f9cbacked Over | 50c | 2,987$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 36c | 650.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 532.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 68c | 294.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 67c | 269.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed Over | 75c | 201$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 26c | 195.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 13c | 151.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 44c | 148.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Over | 67c | 144.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 32c | 132.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 69c | 132.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 30c | 121.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 115.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 101.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 68c | 76.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 69.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 68.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 26c | 67.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 75c | 53.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 33c | 42.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 30c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 56c | 40.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 40.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 34c | 32.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 43c | 32.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 56c | 32.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Under | 42c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 65c | 26.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 45c | 25.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…09fcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 70c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)Albacete Balompié won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 5.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: UD Las Palmas O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.