Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03f9dda6c5897003f64f4012014895c698bde828c249b31a3cb886502c24c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 593.26$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 454.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 421.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…f0c7backed TYLOO | 58c | 409.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 349.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed TYLOO | 75c | 341.84$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 324.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…4d0cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 6c | 316.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TYLOO | 73c | 307.29$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Bilibili Gaming | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TYLOO | 76c | 295.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 282.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 240.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TYLOO | 70c | 221.86$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 202.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TYLOO | 70c | 186.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked TYLOO | 56c | 178.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed TYLOO | 75c | 146.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 144.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 139.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 110.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 100.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…5ecebacked TYLOO | 77c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked TYLOO | 56c | 57.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed TYLOO | 54c | 57.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed TYLOO | 70c | 55.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 52.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked TYLOO | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TYLOO | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked TYLOO | 59c | 47.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Bilibili Gaming | 24c | 46.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed TYLOO | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.