TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Dino Prizmic vs Francesco Passaro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Passaroof Prizmic, Passaro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Passaro58c10,250$5,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.621,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Prizmic42c6,037$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.122,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Prizmic24c5,672$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Prizmic54c4,893$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Passaro50c2,428$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.9881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Passaro50c1,950$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.142,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Passaro55c1,698$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.278450%42 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Passaro36c1,507$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Prizmic67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Prizmic51c1,490$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.9247057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Passaro78c1,450$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Prizmic33c1,307$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Prizmic40c1,204$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.814,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Passaro33c1,124$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.898348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Passaro78c1,099$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Prizmic53c1,067$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.673,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Passaro55c1,028$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.0949252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Passaro48c995.23$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Passaro33c881.43$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.1226535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Prizmic40c726.4$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.611,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Passaro69c718.54$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.184827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Prizmic51c588.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Passaro69c563$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.051,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Prizmic51c505.08$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9217863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Passaro33c491.27$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1516340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Prizmic67c450.48$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.822245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Passaro61c443.01$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5849143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c71…fe82backed Prizmic65c410$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Prizmic45c400$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.371,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Prizmic47c370$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Prizmic40c316$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Prizmic66c302.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Prizmic68c260.4$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17747552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Passaro59c252.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2582560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Prizmic61c232.77$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14384736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Prizmic44c222.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Prizmic51c208.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4612952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Prizmic48c207.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.854,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Prizmic21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Passaro66c151.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1246030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Passaro58c151$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Prizmic68c148$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.641,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Passaro77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8713750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Passaro32c114.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1937238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Passaro70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2939872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Prizmic66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Passaro33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6711050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Passaro34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Prizmic66c99.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.033,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Passaro55c91.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.175343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Prizmic55c90.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Prizmic37c75.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.963,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1304…f273backed Prizmic67c75.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a26…7189backed Prizmic52c71.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.122050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Prizmic44c70.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.586,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Passaro54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Prizmic68c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.614949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Passaro44c67.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.973545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked Passaro45c67.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.382437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Prizmic48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Passaro47c62.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.884,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Passaro34c55.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Prizmic67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.513658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf412…3120backed Prizmic24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Prizmic67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Prizmic37c42.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.021,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Prizmic35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521243.9%93 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x650b…683fbacked Passaro69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Prizmic58c36.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.15521.8%12 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Prizmic65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207751.9%40 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Prizmic66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Prizmic43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Prizmic66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.824454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba8…90a3backed Prizmic42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.548852.9%258 W · 230 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2206…5e07backed Prizmic66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee70…7e8abacked Passaro63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.431172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Prizmic67c19.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6dd…3ab9backed Passaro64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fff…665bbacked Prizmic68c15.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.492263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Passaro67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.927546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Prizmic67c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.054450%22 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.