Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Daria Snigur vs Sinja Kraus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1b41236101772090ffb46a5bcf88c51cec37d0798cacaa16b458c413bf75249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Snigurof Snigur, Kraus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Kraus | 27c | 1,225$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.33 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraus | 18c | 1,129$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…cc39backed Kraus | 12c | 700.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraus | 13c | 504.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…5d98backed Kraus | 28c | 351.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Snigur | 73c | 314.47$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Kraus | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kraus | 20c | 283.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…d404backed Snigur | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kraus | 10c | 202.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kraus | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Snigur | 76c | 193.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Snigur | 73c | 178.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Snigur | 74c | 176.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Kraus | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Snigur | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Snigur | 76c | 132.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kraus | 10c | 129.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kraus | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Snigur | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Snigur | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Snigur | 71c | 99.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kraus | 24c | 86.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…888cbacked Kraus | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kraus | 27c | 85.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kraus | 29c | 70.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Kraus | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Snigur | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Snigur | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Snigur | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Snigur | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Snigur | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraus | 26c | 44.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…1c7dbacked Snigur | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Snigur | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Snigur | 75c | 34.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bb…4840backed Snigur | 73c | 27.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Snigur | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890b…97bebacked Snigur | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Snigur | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Snigur | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Snigur | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Snigur | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Snigur | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Snigur | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Snigur | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.