Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d566681dcecc61fb5d3fda63a8f81f02969d10ca5fa8f76ca45bdc75fc70a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Natus Vincere, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,988$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.84 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 1,878$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.43 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.03 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 1,052$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 761.34$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 761.26$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 501$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 450$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 382.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 337.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 303$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 253.71$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 247$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 246.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 186.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 183.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 172.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 137$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 53.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 46.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Gentle Mates | 71c | 45.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 42.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 42.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 40.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)Gentle Mates won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.