TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere48c25,250$12,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,12024145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Gentle Mates53c22,792$12,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,628.8912652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gentle Mates73c12,158$8,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.8340945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Natus Vincere47c12,141$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Gentle Mates53c7,871$4,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.3554751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Natus Vincere25c7,827$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.28812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-77.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Gentle Mates56c3,646$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.511747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere36c2,883$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.2168949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Gentle Mates56c1,872$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.125451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Gentle Mates52c1,864$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.622346.6%104 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates67c1,839$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.0665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Gentle Mates75c1,588$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5994361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed Natus Vincere36c1,332$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.643345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Natus Vincere46c1,090$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.44332.6%14 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates52c971$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere19c795.35$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Natus Vincere46c760.87$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Gentle Mates54c739.18$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.232152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Natus Vincere38c708.81$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7660022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere45c611.5$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.9951749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere30c602.64$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.971,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Gentle Mates54c559.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.266867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa63f…b685backed Natus Vincere18c555.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Gentle Mates56c535.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8934857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Gentle Mates54c527.72$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.755062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Gentle Mates54c508.17$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7625660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Natus Vincere2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gentle Mates75c470$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4878562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere42c463.54$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.881,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere40c453.77$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.341,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Natus Vincere27c361.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Gentle Mates55c328.52$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.911,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Natus Vincere42c320.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6836145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere33c308.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere45c275.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.061,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Gentle Mates55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7323463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6505…1feebacked Gentle Mates56c269.64$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.648654.7%47 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere30c268$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Natus Vincere24c264.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5417853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Natus Vincere26c233.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.873148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Natus Vincere46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924040%16 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed Natus Vincere39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Gentle Mates56c198.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2121454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Natus Vincere46c194.19$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.338646.5%40 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Gentle Mates55c180.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.226068.3%41 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Gentle Mates54c157$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.226570.8%46 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c03…ffcdbacked Natus Vincere20c154.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Natus Vincere15c153$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6120138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Gentle Mates67c149.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5516963.3%107 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…fbc4backed Natus Vincere46c146.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Gentle Mates79c138.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.231,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Natus Vincere30c137.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.38852.3%46 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Natus Vincere24c125.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9291…63d0backed Gentle Mates75c119.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.995076%38 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Natus Vincere40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…1b27backed Gentle Mates55c107.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.47560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Natus Vincere20c104.7$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.846033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Natus Vincere34c104.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2239646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Gentle Mates54c92.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.552860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Gentle Mates55c90.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.946251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Natus Vincere19c89.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.974450%22 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed Natus Vincere25c89.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Gentle Mates56c86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8421153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Natus Vincere21c82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8957151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates66c75.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Natus Vincere21c75.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere41c72.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8451948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Natus Vincere22c72.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7514552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Natus Vincere42c71.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates59c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1981134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Natus Vincere47c61.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43cd…cc1bbacked Gentle Mates78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Gentle Mates53c59.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.782544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Gentle Mates77c59.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6265347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Gentle Mates56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.933066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Natus Vincere25c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6142140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Gentle Mates69c52.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.179455.3%52 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere24c50.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Gentle Mates73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+67.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Natus Vincere45c48.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere24c46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0450944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Gentle Mates53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Gentle Mates56c33.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9315255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Gentle Mates49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.328143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked Gentle Mates76c26.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.316452.4%86 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Natus Vincere51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates63c19.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1353159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5da4…513dbacked Gentle Mates76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb895…b11cbacked Gentle Mates76c18.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Gentle Mates67c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.911030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.081,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Gentle Mates73c13.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.78968.5%61 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.