Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd20608129676034fde1e21d66c06d7f53cdb839963c21990dba0120abf695b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Rublev, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Borges | 46c | 3,934$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.13 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Rublev | 58c | 3,868$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.79 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borges | 39c | 3,123$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Rublev | 53c | 2,162$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.79 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Borges | 46c | 1,287$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.14 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Rublev | 65c | 1,187$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Rublev | 52c | 798.49$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.22 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Borges | 43c | 583.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.57 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Rublev | 53c | 408.16$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Borges | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Borges | 46c | 227.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce4…50debacked Rublev | 79c | 226.06$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Borges | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…bd53backed Rublev | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Rublev | 57c | 155.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Rublev | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Borges | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Borges | 46c | 114.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Borges | 44c | 96.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Rublev | 54c | 93.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Rublev | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Borges | 35c | 76.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Rublev | 53c | 58.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed Borges | 48c | 58.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Rublev | 51c | 53.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Rublev | 55c | 52.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Borges | 56c | 51.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Rublev | 66c | 49.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 72c | 47.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Borges | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc549…97b7backed Rublev | 57c | 43.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Rublev | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Rublev | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Borges | 46c | 33.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Borges | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Rublev | 55c | 28.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Rublev | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Rublev | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)this page
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesAndrey Rublev won
- Rublev vs. Borges: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rublev vs. Borges: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs BorgesRublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.