Mls · resolved market
Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2178e4530ae5aecb1e02fdb3385eb319aa5c3e760bfae3224bc54d252192e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.13 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 446.54$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 170.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 47c | 124.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 54c | 102.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 53c | 93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 53c | 83.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 46c | 75.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 64.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 44.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…d3b0backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 53c | 39.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 52c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 53c | 30.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.