Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Facundo Acosta vs Gustavo Heide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd241e482e28832f20de1c867833b9f2fa05058231b6792da1be987e77e952621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gustavo Heideof Facundo Acosta, Gustavo Heide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Facundo Acosta | 9c | 5,711$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Gustavo Heide | 72c | 2,830$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.24 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Facundo Acosta | 7c | 2,263$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Facundo Acosta | 48c | 1,880$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 1,669$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gustavo Heide | 67c | 1,481$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.86 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gustavo Heide | 70c | 989.73$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.21 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Gustavo Heide | 78c | 825.06$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Gustavo Heide | 59c | 565.42$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Facundo Acosta | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…85ccbacked Gustavo Heide | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Facundo Acosta | 59c | 389.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gustavo Heide | 41c | 348.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Facundo Acosta | 30c | 306.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Facundo Acosta | 29c | 261.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gustavo Heide | 53c | 250$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Gustavo Heide | 53c | 236$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Facundo Acosta | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gustavo Heide | 41c | 183.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…93b2backed Gustavo Heide | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Facundo Acosta | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Gustavo Heide | 70c | 172.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 168.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Facundo Acosta | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Facundo Acosta | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gustavo Heide | 52c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gustavo Heide | 71c | 103.29$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Gustavo Heide | 71c | 102.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Facundo Acosta | 14c | 86.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c4…c777backed Gustavo Heide | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Gustavo Heide | 73c | 76.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e0…3488backed Facundo Acosta | 49c | 71.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gustavo Heide | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Facundo Acosta | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Gustavo Heide | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Gustavo Heide | 42c | 55.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Facundo Acosta | 24c | 51.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Gustavo Heide | 53c | 51.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Facundo Acosta | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…255fbacked Facundo Acosta | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 50.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…4736backed Facundo Acosta | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Facundo Acosta | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Facundo Acosta | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gustavo Heide | 42c | 37.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Gustavo Heide | 67c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Facundo Acosta | 37c | 35.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Facundo Acosta | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Facundo Acosta | 31c | 34.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fed…9664backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…4e60backed Facundo Acosta | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Facundo Acosta | 58c | 33.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…d224backed Gustavo Heide | 71c | 32.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Gustavo Heide | 42c | 29.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Gustavo Heide | 69c | 27.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d1…642fbacked Facundo Acosta | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Facundo Acosta | 50c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Facundo Acosta | 58c | 23.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Facundo Acosta | 58c | 20.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.