Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd25c3791db69cf536f9a4037df10eb85ac03182bd313e45c4dd49c375879c02b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 62c | 6,619$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.01 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 36c | 5,352$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.2 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 3,882$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.41 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.69 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 65c | 2,107$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.12 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,950$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.65 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 996.55$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.87 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 10c | 590$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 462.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.46 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 79c | 441.65$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 57c | 277$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 79c | 252.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 10cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 10c | 202.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Yes | 12c | 134.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…2306backed Yes | 11c | 129.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +345.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 76c | 112.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…3555backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 52c | 73.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 49c | 51.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 44.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…e616backed No | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 67c | 39.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 57c | 17.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.