Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad05d0b6d27d8c33756a730de6d4e9736c4d39993ff3c573c64795d056d269bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 27c | 7,654$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.61 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 4,598$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.34 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 30c | 3,053$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.91 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 29c | 3,000$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.85 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,519$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.08 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 2,182$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.21 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 1,089$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.41 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 963.82$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.95 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 76c | 960.89$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.56 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 73c | 937.62$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.97 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 56c | 923.63$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.77 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed No | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.39per pick | 20cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 751.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.77 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 10c | 695.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…2239backed No | 29c | 667.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 466.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 452.36$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 73c | 391$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.43 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 339.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.18 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 322.81$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 29c | 279.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.27 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…ae3dbacked No | 29c | 220.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 46c | 193.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 31c | 167.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 155.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed No | 28c | 139$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 46c | 130.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Yes | 72c | 111.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 27c | 79.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 13c | 78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 71c | 73.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 71c | 71.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 75c | 70.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 71c | 68.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…f046backed No | 17c | 62.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed No | 29c | 60.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Yes | 26c | 56.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 27c | 55.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 69c | 54.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 51.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 37c | 47.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 30c | 45.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 71c | 44.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 29c | 43.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed No | 29c | 42.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 69c | 37.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 30c | 36.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 29c | 36.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…4bc7backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 44c | 25.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…bb29backed Yes | 56c | 24.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 73c | 23.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 68c | 21.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4c…2200backed Yes | 72c | 20.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 72c | 14.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.