Tennis · resolved market
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Gabriela Knutson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd298a15e34157ec90520062b6b91f7d1ccd8d1730494f39d8ad708de691783b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriela Knutsonof Aoi Ito, Gabriela Knutson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aoi Ito | 49c | 32,222$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,699.53 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Gabriela Knutson | 40c | 15,880$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.12 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Gabriela Knutson | 39c | 13,795$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.48 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Aoi Ito | 49c | 2,031$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.59 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Aoi Ito | 20c | 1,814$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Gabriela Knutson | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gabriela Knutson | 69c | 1,100$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.12 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 989.18$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabriela Knutson | 46c | 962.84$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.05 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Aoi Ito | 22c | 690.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Aoi Ito | 20c | 689.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Gabriela Knutson | 52c | 637.06$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.79 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…24fdbacked Aoi Ito | 22c | 448.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Aoi Ito | 56c | 414.31$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Aoi Ito | 21c | 377.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Gabriela Knutson | 79c | 368.83$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aoi Ito | 28c | 340.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Gabriela Knutson | 49c | 266.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Gabriela Knutson | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Gabriela Knutson | 64c | 226.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Aoi Ito | 7c | 223.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Aoi Ito | 45c | 202$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Aoi Ito | 18c | 199.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aoi Ito | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 850 | 57.5%489 W · 361 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Aoi Ito | 19c | 144.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Gabriela Knutson | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Gabriela Knutson | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Aoi Ito | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Aoi Ito | 21c | 126.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Gabriela Knutson | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Gabriela Knutson | 50c | 120.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Gabriela Knutson | 65c | 110.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Gabriela Knutson | 77c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 535 | 39.3%210 W · 325 L | +37.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Aoi Ito | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aoi Ito | 11c | 100.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Aoi Ito | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gabriela Knutson | 76c | 98.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gabriela Knutson | 57c | 90.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Aoi Ito | 48c | 86.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…557abacked Aoi Ito | 28c | 84.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gabriela Knutson | 49c | 80.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Gabriela Knutson | 63c | 76.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Gabriela Knutson | 80c | 75.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Gabriela Knutson | 50c | 68.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Aoi Ito | 21c | 67.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Aoi Ito | 25c | 65.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…f06fbacked Gabriela Knutson | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Aoi Ito | 44c | 63.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Gabriela Knutson | 39c | 62.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Gabriela Knutson | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…cd83backed Aoi Ito | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 220 | 46.8%103 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…5c28backed Gabriela Knutson | 66c | 56.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Gabriela Knutson | 51c | 56.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…e212backed Aoi Ito | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Aoi Ito | 40c | 49.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Aoi Ito | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Gabriela Knutson | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Aoi Ito | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…36aabacked Aoi Ito | 48c | 41.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Aoi Ito | 52c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Gabriela Knutson | 59c | 38.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 516 | 36.2%187 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Aoi Ito | 57c | 35.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Aoi Ito | 57c | 34.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Gabriela Knutson | 52c | 32.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Aoi Ito | 39c | 31.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…c693backed Aoi Ito | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…d9ebbacked Gabriela Knutson | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Gabriela Knutson | 48c | 28.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Gabriela Knutson | 43c | 24.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Gabriela Knutson | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Gabriela Knutson | 79c | 22.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gabriela Knutson | 51c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Aoi Ito | 49c | 20.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Gabriela Knutson | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Gabriela Knutson | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.