Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2b2f308674506222effe124b53a9457977843fee7fe972f5836a8d3f69ffcdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 21c | 3,025$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 1,934$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.24 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 831.25$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.82 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes | 77c | 650.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 57c | 635.17$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.96 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 64c | 573.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.33 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 416.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.64 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 38c | 409.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 80c | 380$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 21c | 315.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.05 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 45c | 292.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 44c | 283.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 40c | 280.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 66c | 258.24$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 252$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 46c | 240.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 202.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 52c | 201.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 183.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 52c | 178.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 178.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 171.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 166$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 12c | 155.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 152.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 62c | 141.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 42c | 118.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 61c | 115.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 74c | 108.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 50c | 105.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 51c | 101.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 53c | 93.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Yes | 59c | 93.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 77.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 52c | 66.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0e…5136backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc407…0875backed Yes | 31c | 60.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 56.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 80c | 49.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 45c | 44.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 63c | 39.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 45c | 33.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 54c | 28.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…8f42backed Yes | 55c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 43c | 23.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Yes | 65c | 20.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…c234backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 18.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 16.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.