Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2be294cdcfdbec8244ec4c43d4d82d14422cf0f5ff77f276b092103c3a65762
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetown Hoyasof Georgetown Hoyas, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgetown Hoyas | 79c | 1,852$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.24 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Butler Bulldogs | 14c | 1,069$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Butler Bulldogs | 15c | 990.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 35c | 980.21$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.15 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butler Bulldogs | 16c | 965.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Georgetown Hoyas | 30c | 874.29$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Butler Bulldogs | 47c | 832.02$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 732.38$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 56c | 534.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 50c | 396.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Butler Bulldogs | 50c | 388.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Butler Bulldogs | 29c | 341.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Georgetown Hoyas | 30c | 335.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Butler Bulldogs | 33c | 329.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Butler Bulldogs | 31c | 320.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgetown Hoyas | 58c | 290.59$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Georgetown Hoyas | 76c | 206.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Butler Bulldogs | 53c | 201$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgetown Hoyas | 60c | 188.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Georgetown Hoyas | 30c | 165.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Georgetown Hoyas | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgetown Hoyas | 74c | 149.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 24c | 145.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Butler Bulldogs | 36c | 140$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Butler Bulldogs | 54c | 131.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Butler Bulldogs | 40c | 129.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6570…32ccbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 122.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Butler Bulldogs | 46c | 106.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Georgetown Hoyas | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Georgetown Hoyas | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 14c | 85.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 80c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Butler Bulldogs | 27c | 75.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 66.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…c157backed Butler Bulldogs | 38c | 64.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 46c | 54.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Georgetown Hoyas | 30c | 50.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Georgetown Hoyas | 74c | 49.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289a…0237backed Butler Bulldogs | 68c | 48.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Butler Bulldogs | 67c | 42.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 56c | 41.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Butler Bulldogs | 56c | 40.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Butler Bulldogs | 55c | 33.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Butler Bulldogs | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8f…8310backed Georgetown Hoyas | 35c | 29.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 39c | 28.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…18e1backed Butler Bulldogs | 44c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Georgetown Hoyas | 61c | 27.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgetown Hoyas | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Butler Bulldogs | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Butler Bulldogs | 58c | 19.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Butler Bulldogs | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 150.5Under won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-5.5)Georgetown Hoyas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.