CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd44376530fb130721f8f0b565c6ecb77cf9bd16ec6e96621feaf075849ae99a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof Phantom, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 11c | 5,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.01 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Phantom | 24c | 1,024$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 998.38$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.77 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Phantom | 17c | 899.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 26c | 814$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 532.75$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 501$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 499.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked Phantom | 11c | 440.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Phantom | 25c | 379.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 309.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 300$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 14c | 287.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Phantom | 36c | 279.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Phantom | 10c | 257.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 236.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phantom | 25c | 231.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Phantom | 11c | 217.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Phantom | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Phantom | 10c | 195.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 15c | 172.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Phantom | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 148.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 138.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 24c | 133.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Phantom | 9c | 124$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Phantom | 10c | 124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…fdb6backed Phantom | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Phantom | 10c | 119.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 24c | 106.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked Phantom | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Phantom | 27c | 93.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…506ebacked Phantom | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 66.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 64.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed Phantom | 25c | 50.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Phantom | 25c | 46.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…f4dcbacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.