Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5256de0fbd0973d5d6d8b606edba5204bd87e229e1587dc3d1f5ca30a334dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 70c | 24,070$16,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,127.54 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 30c | 18,866$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.65 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 29c | 8,913$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.37 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 70c | 3,732$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.48 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 70c | 2,090$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.51 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 30c | 1,110$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 29c | 586.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 29c | 495.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 71c | 491.42$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 29c | 491.19$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 68c | 361.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Under | 69c | 354.51$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 30c | 353$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 31c | 317.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 29c | 286.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 69c | 196.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 29c | 184.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 32c | 145.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 69c | 138.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 28c | 129.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 31c | 111.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 32c | 106.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 25c | 105.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 71c | 58.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 26c | 50.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 74c | 50.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…e70fbacked Over | 31c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed Over | 32c | 44.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 69c | 38.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.