Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55e8cca33cfe63fca40114ff2eaddad8cd3251252c5fe25ef28e40cc13b1bcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Movistar KOI | 62c | 18,804$11,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,658.33 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 11,113$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890.05 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 5,116$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.16 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 4,785$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.92 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 4,057$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.25 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 2,384$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.27 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…ed3dbacked Movistar KOI | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Movistar KOI | 66c | 1,671$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 1,204$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.45 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 975.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.11 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 887.95$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.41 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp | 35c | 710$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.7 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 682.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.67 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 548.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.29 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Movistar KOI | 63c | 458.73$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 403.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.34 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Movistar KOI | 54c | 385.61$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Karmine Corp | 34c | 383.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Movistar KOI | 63c | 370$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Movistar KOI | 56c | 352.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 320.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 320.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 300.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Movistar KOI | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 298.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Karmine Corp | 37c | 275.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…2104backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 242.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp | 42c | 235.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 233.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Movistar KOI | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Movistar KOI | 63c | 194.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 191.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 172.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 154.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 147.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Karmine Corp | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 114.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 94.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Movistar KOI | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 63.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…1683backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…97fcbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Movistar KOI | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Movistar KOI | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…eee6backed Movistar KOI | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Movistar KOI | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 22.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Movistar KOI | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.