TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,013 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under25c6,692$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,018.751,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Over75c6,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under26c1,503$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.262,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under25c1,310$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.861,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over75c1,121$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.3221946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Over76c1,063$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.430160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over75c1,047$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78528166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over72c999.99$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.991,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under67c833.78$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2922165.6%145 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over23c764.49$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.251,13331.1%352 W · 781 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Under28c717.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.1443640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under24c629.42$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.663951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over74c603.32$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.211,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa21b…08cebacked Over73c577.07$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Under28c535.71$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.5110237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under66c503.34$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.871,16866.1%772 W · 396 L+69.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Over74c501.15$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9547047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over60c479.01$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.922,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over74c469.85$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under31c437.87$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2496149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under26c299.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9920154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c253.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.952,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under26c240$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.622748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over74c225.9$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over64c208$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.041,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under26c200.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8874637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10223943.1%103 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212040%48 W · 72 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1467251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over76c197.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6763458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e5…b040backed Over77c195.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022954.1%124 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under30c165.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8719052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over24c158$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4619553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over77c157.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1166058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x511d…3633backed Over71c131$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0716256.2%91 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e4…4f28backed Under42c118.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4424655.3%136 W · 110 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb375…8f7dbacked Under25c105$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under59c102.66$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5932755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5172637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf67…6842backed Under32c94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411931.1%37 W · 82 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over74c77.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.077856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3455…c421backed Over76c71.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under24c62.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.552,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0560738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0559740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under21c52.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2928341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Over73c48.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d3…3ccfbacked Over78c47.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Under43c47.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.052638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under24c46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9613142.7%56 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under28c44.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.121,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012052.5%63 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x176e…dbe1backed Over63c36.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd869…4c75backed Over65c33.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1eb…1240backed Under62c32.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.378464.3%54 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Over74c31.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4827668.1%188 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over53c21.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.683957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xef34…c8a0backed Over74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda59…6630backed Over76c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157252.8%38 W · 34 L-13.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-27.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over75c15.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc31c…fb90backed Over74c14.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Over73c13.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.019558.9%56 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.