NFL · resolved market
Will Doug Pederson be the next coach fired?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd55ec6c1d91420251ff5bd96a5202abfa32e27616e544208ce6e59ced249b0b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 3c | 503.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 79c | 452.2$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 50c | 448.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 54c | 341.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 28c | 271.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 249.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 36c | 239.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 78c | 232.86$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 72c | 232.84$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 72c | 200.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 53c | 131.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 30c | 98.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…86b2backed Yes | 28c | 93.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes | 46c | 86.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 23c | 84.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked No | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…02cfbacked Yes | 38c | 69.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 67.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 30c | 44.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…161abacked Yes | 32c | 37.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 38c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1422…b299backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Doug Pederson be the next coach fired?this page
- Will Antonio Pierce be the next coach fired?No won
- Will Brian Daboll be the next coach fired?No won
- Will Dave Canales be the next coach fired?No won
- Will Kevin Stefanski be the next coach fired?No won
- Will Matt Eberflus be the next head coach fired?Yes won
- Will Mike McCarthy be the next coach fired?No won
- Will Zac Taylor be the next coach fired?No won
- Will another coach be the next coach fired?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.