Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Camila Osorio vs Simona Waltert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b02d472dc2b56c763523ec69126ec70ed6435497f065ae2be27ab0c0b6585a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camila Osorioof Camila Osorio, Simona Waltert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Simona Waltert | 0c | 41,178$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…ef29backed Camila Osorio | 64c | 14,073$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 9,725$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.41 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Camila Osorio | 64c | 9,355$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.96 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 8,883$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.86 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Camila Osorio | 64c | 8,500$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.2 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Simona Waltert | 37c | 1,731$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 1,551$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.41 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 1,325$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.16 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Camila Osorio | 79c | 1,167$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Simona Waltert | 21c | 1,157$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Camila Osorio | 68c | 932.59$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Simona Waltert | 33c | 853.52$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Simona Waltert | 35c | 852.15$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Camila Osorio | 71c | 697.34$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Simona Waltert | 15c | 657.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Simona Waltert | 25c | 599.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.16 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Simona Waltert | 34c | 590.77$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 450.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Simona Waltert | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Simona Waltert | 34c | 324.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 305.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…3098backed Camila Osorio | 65c | 289.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Simona Waltert | 24c | 231.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Camila Osorio | 65c | 212.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Simona Waltert | 35c | 206.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Simona Waltert | 35c | 200.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Simona Waltert | 21c | 181.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Simona Waltert | 12c | 175.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Camila Osorio | 73c | 159.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Camila Osorio | 75c | 154.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 149.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Camila Osorio | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Simona Waltert | 8c | 135.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 124.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Simona Waltert | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Simona Waltert | 31c | 104.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Simona Waltert | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Simona Waltert | 10c | 103.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Simona Waltert | 32c | 96.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Camila Osorio | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Simona Waltert | 20c | 84.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 82.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Simona Waltert | 25c | 78.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Simona Waltert | 30c | 76.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Simona Waltert | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Simona Waltert | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Camila Osorio | 72c | 56.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…042ebacked Camila Osorio | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Simona Waltert | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…b0f7backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 49.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed Simona Waltert | 26c | 49.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Simona Waltert | 33c | 40.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Simona Waltert | 29c | 39.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Simona Waltert | 37c | 37.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Simona Waltert | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…a063backed Simona Waltert | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…5dd9backed Camila Osorio | 75c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Camila Osorio | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Camila Osorio | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Camila Osorio | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Camila Osorio | 65c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Camila Osorio | 65c | 21.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Camila Osorio | 75c | 15.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.