MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5da764807f3ff298d7c600c325a18d59ef6a56dd1153bbfb06a442d3728245d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 27,000$17,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,010 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 12,210$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,393.08 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 11,469$6,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930.67 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 11,404$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,155.08 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 5,331$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.53 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 2,222$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.64 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.32 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,230$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 1,007$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.88 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 921.59$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.61 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 915.66$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.36 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 868.27$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 818.93$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 544.65$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.24 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Kansas City Royals | 4c | 477.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 476.91$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 288.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 262.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 231.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 181.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 150.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 149.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 144.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 99.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 90.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 82.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 82.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 80.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 78.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 71.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 67.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…5bedbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 59.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 56.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 44.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 39.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.1wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 35.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 33.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 32.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 25.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…7a96backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.