Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Lin Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd655847a61cc6ab631c565e4a849c0077283109166d73811d2117f8d58126abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lin Zhuof Sarah Rakotomanga, Lin Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lin Zhu | 70c | 5,104$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.99 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 1,899$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.98 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 25c | 1,202$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 26c | 996.16$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 25c | 866.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 19c | 837.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lin Zhu | 74c | 782.92$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Lin Zhu | 74c | 690$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 298 | 49.7%148 W · 150 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 11c | 649.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 527$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 371.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 28c | 354.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 320$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 9c | 252.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lin Zhu | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 6c | 194.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 192.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 142.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 10c | 112.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 23c | 110.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Lin Zhu | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 28c | 70.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lin Zhu | 73c | 45.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lin Zhu | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Lin Zhu | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Lin Zhu | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Lin Zhu | 74c | 36.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lin Zhu | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Lin Zhu | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Lin Zhu | 79c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Lin Zhuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Rakotomanga vs ZhuZhu won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.