Lol · resolved market
LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6674b6781991caaea0799378d77e8523563c1d2ccd4b59876fb964093f709dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof FRK, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed FRK | 14c | 4,102$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.21 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed FRK | 15c | 2,401$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.36 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FRK | 12c | 2,234$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.05 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FRK | 16c | 1,600$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed FRK | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked FRK | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed FRK | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed FRK | 14c | 876.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FRK | 6c | 870.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FRK | 12c | 822.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed FRK | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed FRK | 14c | 699.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked FRK | 17c | 628.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked FRK | 9c | 607.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked FRK | 5c | 449.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked FRK | 14c | 441.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed FRK | 24c | 419.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed FRK | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked FRK | 15c | 229.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked LNG Esports | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked FRK | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked FRK | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked FRK | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -19.9wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…8fc0backed LNG Esports | 78c | 155.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FRK | 22c | 154.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed FRK | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked LNG Esports | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed FRK | 17c | 109.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FRK | 22c | 79.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked LNG Esports | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LNG Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports (BO3)LNG Esports won
- LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.