Lol · resolved market

LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4ae04e3af6ae0d7edb43ddb4b0fbf3f9b3055b36f9d952ee9b681e0486e42d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: LNG Esportsof FRK, LNG Esports
Resolved: Dec 16, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,089 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5d0…d9e8backed FRK	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	857	46.3%397 W · 460 L	+17.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked LNG Esports	74c	2,490$1,854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.73	850	46%391 W · 459 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed FRK	28c	2,032$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.41	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd3…fefabacked LNG Esports	80c	1,875$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked FRK	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	245	29.8%73 W · 172 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FRK	22c	1,387$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.84	372	45.2%168 W · 204 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FRK	26c	1,090$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.1	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed LNG Esports	78c	1,050$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	141	58.2%82 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd13f…fef2backed FRK	27c	920$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked FRK	24c	832.13$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	848	40.8%346 W · 502 L	-39.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked FRK	6c	799.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed LNG Esports	78c	757.53$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.66	189	44.4%84 W · 105 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed FRK	19c	619.99$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.92	112	24.1%27 W · 85 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed LNG Esports	80c	605$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.84	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed LNG Esports	75c	510.87$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.72	102	50%51 W · 51 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked FRK	25c	500$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.79	675	52.4%354 W · 321 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed FRK	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	505	47.7%241 W · 264 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed FRK	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked LNG Esports	75c	499.57$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.04	680	49%333 W · 347 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed FRK	25c	402.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	669	47.8%320 W · 349 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa7…2085backed LNG Esports	73c	340$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b34…86aebacked LNG Esports	73c	330$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked FRK	17c	289.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	218	48.6%106 W · 112 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4854…0887backed FRK	12c	278.11$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-75.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…e29fbacked LNG Esports	77c	250$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.5	174	62.1%108 W · 66 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29d…5f4cbacked LNG Esports	73c	250$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked FRK	22c	250$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed FRK	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	394	50.3%198 W · 196 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb3…12c6backed LNG Esports	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed FRK	20c	199.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	460	33.9%156 W · 304 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed LNG Esports	76c	197.89$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.89	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed FRK	22c	196.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	1,060	28.5%302 W · 758 L	+21.5wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bc…7d58backed FRK	21c	176.39$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.9	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed FRK	15c	170$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	183	42.6%78 W · 105 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked LNG Esports	78c	159.99$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	1,155	68.1%786 W · 369 L	+35.1wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked FRK	16c	139.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	288	37.5%108 W · 180 L	-16.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5017…4daebacked FRK	21c	126.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.67	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed LNG Esports	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	394	51%201 W · 193 L	-14.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed LNG Esports	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked FRK	23c	123.18$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked FRK	24c	123$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed FRK	20c	106.25$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	211	37.4%79 W · 132 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…064fbacked LNG Esports	76c	103.26$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.78	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked FRK	26c	101.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-19.9wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked LNG Esports	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	288	55.9%161 W · 127 L	-20.1wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeed5…339ebacked LNG Esports	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	71	64.8%46 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed LNG Esports	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	180	46.7%84 W · 96 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked FRK	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	314	35.7%112 W · 202 L	+15.5wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked LNG Esports	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked FRK	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	663	16.4%109 W · 554 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed LNG Esports	77c	97.4$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.4	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed FRK	21c	97.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked FRK	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	707	52.9%374 W · 333 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked LNG Esports	78c	78.5$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	187	55.1%103 W · 84 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked FRK	22c	75.13$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed FRK	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+31%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked FRK	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	293	35.2%103 W · 190 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked LNG Esports	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198b…f2ecbacked LNG Esports	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	105	61%64 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa28f…c9b7backed LNG Esports	74c	39.59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.29	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68e…8a50backed LNG Esports	75c	33.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked LNG Esports	79c	28.11$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.9	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed LNG Esports	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.1	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LNG Esports	76c	23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.52	2,836	41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L	-12.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed LNG Esports	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	664	45.6%303 W · 361 L	+14.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports (BO3)LNG Esports won
LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: FRK vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event