Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71dc482ea4ea8d8364d08c516744217ce1672fe8941fdd281ff520852434f4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 2,540$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.73 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,383$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.92 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 782.27$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 772.9$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 69c | 666.67$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 656.71$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 9c | 533$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 476.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Yes | 12c | 427.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes | 11c | 427.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 355.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 305.37$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 239.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 64c | 229.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…de75backed Yes | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 23c | 216.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 188.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 157.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…9143backed Yes | 12c | 154$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…cab5backed Yes | 34c | 145.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 76c | 130.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 35c | 109.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 75c | 99.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 30c | 74.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 63c | 74.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…91f4backed Yes | 29c | 70.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 76c | 66.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 77c | 64.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 64.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 43.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 42.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 77c | 32.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 76c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 73c | 23.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 77c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 76c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.