Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345d4483d12b1120384ba7cb055c71125f7f9e56672194b9d9245a8e0f3fd82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 6,063$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.74 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 21c | 4,252$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.92 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 3,095$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.78 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,200$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 62c | 1,499$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.07 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 18c | 1,429$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.78 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 14c | 1,347$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.01 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,316$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.97 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 1,153$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.65 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 18c | 1,144$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.06 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 18c | 1,137$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.84 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 49c | 1,030$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.76 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,025$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.4 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 15c | 847.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 12c | 670.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 30c | 624.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.26 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 16c | 619.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.75 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked No | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 488$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.94 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 34c | 414.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.53 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 12c | 364$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 9c | 359.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 30c | 304.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 45c | 257.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 52c | 257.37$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 251.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 36c | 246.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 26c | 238.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 55c | 221.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 207.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 214 | 74.3%159 W · 55 L | +44.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 13c | 199.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 35c | 182.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 47c | 172$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 21c | 145.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…e737backed No | 13c | 141.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 27c | 136$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 80c | 124.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 15c | 111.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 109.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 32c | 108$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 12c | 103.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 78.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 19c | 77.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 36c | 71.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 17c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 56c | 61.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 50c | 56.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 34c | 55.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 32c | 52.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 27c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 35c | 37.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Yes | 53c | 34.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 34.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed No | 65c | 29.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 63c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 51c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…c5b9backed Yes | 64c | 23.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?No won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.