CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd79c0c2f94bd0801fcf49109b05c98e84a05fe2ac90ef855772e5d44628fb348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Keyd, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 63c | 1,598$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 56c | 1,478$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.35 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 31c | 987.52$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.01 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Keyd | 37c | 969.34$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd | 59c | 792.98$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.19 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yawara Esports | 13c | 738.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yawara Esports | 34c | 712.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.27 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 635$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 579.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.1 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Yawara Esports | 70c | 522.36$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 424$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 377.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Yawara Esports | 22c | 367.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.38 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 54c | 345.81$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yawara Esports | 13c | 324.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.19 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 318$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yawara Esports | 21c | 310.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yawara Esports | 77c | 298.88$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yawara Esports | 62c | 246$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 58c | 238.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yawara Esports | 60c | 238$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 56c | 226$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Keyd | 54c | 224$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yawara Esports | 63c | 223.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 46c | 210.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yawara Esports | 57c | 198$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 171$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Keyd | 58c | 171$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Keyd | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 51c | 138.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Yawara Esports | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 116.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 107.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Yawara Esports | 77c | 97.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports | 17c | 91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Yawara Esports | 64c | 77.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Yawara Esports | 31c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yawara Esports | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yawara Esports | 27c | 59.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Keyd | 31c | 56.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Keyd | 49c | 33.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Keyd | 48c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…091abacked Keyd | 36c | 28.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Keyd | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Keyd | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Yawara Esports | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.