Tennis · resolved market
Gauff vs. Potapova: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a4d34756dfc35b0ef1995fcb4a214ffc0f388644fac4652c9040f25ff16f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 47c | 9,500$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.97 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 53c | 5,057$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.24 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Under | 53c | 1,332$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over | 49c | 612.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.83 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 495$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 53c | 284.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 52c | 260$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 52c | 192.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 101.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 664 | 44.6%296 W · 368 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…ce01backed Under | 53c | 56.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 55.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 481 | 51.6%248 W · 233 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 53c | 53.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…303fbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Over | 56c | 35.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 53c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 726 | 61.8%449 W · 277 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gauff vs. Potapova: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Gauff vs. Potapova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia PotapovaAnastasia Potapova won
- Set 1 Winner: Gauff vs PotapovaGauff won
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)Potapova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.