TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Morehead State Eagles vs. Tennessee State Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tennessee State Tigersof Morehead State Eagles, Tennessee State Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,155 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee State Tigers61c6,524$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.613,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Morehead State Eagles48c3,264$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.555,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Morehead State Eagles47c2,213$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.889849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Morehead State Eagles23c1,271$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.311,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Morehead State Eagles11c1,104$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.22,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee State Tigers55c945.29$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.371,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tennessee State Tigers63c806.49$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.72,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Morehead State Eagles46c432$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.722,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tennessee State Tigers42c408.88$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.141,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Morehead State Eagles28c357.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.624,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Morehead State Eagles11c331.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.491,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Tennessee State Tigers70c329.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2938343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0646…0b51backed Morehead State Eagles13c283.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Morehead State Eagles15c251$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.642814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tennessee State Tigers54c225.77$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.451,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Morehead State Eagles14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Morehead State Eagles13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.491608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Morehead State Eagles50c189.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.62,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Morehead State Eagles10c140.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.523993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Tennessee State Tigers57c133$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee State Tigers67c123.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.412,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Morehead State Eagles17c105.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.192763%17 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+57.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Morehead State Eagles52c102$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0417546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed Morehead State Eagles12c91.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.052114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-58.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Morehead State Eagles18c81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.663,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tennessee State Tigers59c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Tennessee State Tigers41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9819237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee State Tigers78c54.55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Morehead State Eagles26c43.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0613840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c07…aeb0backed Tennessee State Tigers75c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.53948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tennessee State Tigers76c34.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee State Tigers75c32.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Tennessee State Tigers59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4331666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad68…b97cbacked Tennessee State Tigers77c15.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.521782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick75cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.