Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd83bc655aec3acf6e7264ed0d949f0a2d34cdd787e2d57f14dd0fcf187f930d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harvard Crimsonof Harvard Crimson, Cornell Big Red
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cornell Big Red | 41c | 3,592$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cornell Big Red | 64c | 2,705$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.55 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Harvard Crimson | 36c | 1,593$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.78 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Harvard Crimson | 39c | 1,211$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.86 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Harvard Crimson | 61c | 1,009$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.42 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 938.44$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.44 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Cornell Big Red | 46c | 761.14$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cornell Big Red | 33c | 512.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Harvard Crimson | 58c | 511$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cornell Big Red | 40c | 417.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Harvard Crimson | 36c | 410$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Harvard Crimson | 53c | 378.32$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Harvard Crimson | 34c | 373.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.57 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Cornell Big Red | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cornell Big Red | 61c | 326.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Harvard Crimson | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cornell Big Red | 62c | 254.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…8054backed Cornell Big Red | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 235$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Harvard Crimson | 80c | 213.19$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Harvard Crimson | 33c | 209.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Cornell Big Red | 58c | 205.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Cornell Big Red | 64c | 202.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Harvard Crimson | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Harvard Crimson | 36c | 200$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Harvard Crimson | 32c | 184.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cornell Big Red | 40c | 164.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Harvard Crimson | 32c | 162.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cornell Big Red | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Harvard Crimson | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cornell Big Red | 68c | 138$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Harvard Crimson | 51c | 137.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cornell Big Red | 66c | 118.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Harvard Crimson | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cornell Big Red | 38c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Cornell Big Red | 65c | 77.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cornell Big Red | 67c | 73.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Cornell Big Red | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Harvard Crimson | 38c | 73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Cornell Big Red | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cornell Big Red | 38c | 63.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Cornell Big Red | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Cornell Big Red | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Harvard Crimson | 40c | 57.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cornell Big Red | 26c | 50.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Cornell Big Red | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cornell Big Red | 52c | 47.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Cornell Big Red | 22c | 45.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Cornell Big Red | 63c | 39.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Cornell Big Red | 63c | 38.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cornell Big Red | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Harvard Crimson | 37c | 29.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Harvard Crimson | 48c | 23.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Cornell Big Red | 63c | 21.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…247abacked Cornell Big Red | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Harvard Crimson | 62c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Harvard Crimson | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Redthis page
- Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 154.5Under won
- Harvard Crimson vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-5.5)Harvard Crimson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.