TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs J.J. Wolf

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
J.J. Wolfof Jay Dylan Friend, J.J. Wolf
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3663…8950backed Jay Dylan Friend23c40,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20039243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed J.J. Wolf77c18,549$14,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,251.918,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jay Dylan Friend16c6,504$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.3125144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Jay Dylan Friend8c5,903$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.8318246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Jay Dylan Friend20c5,299$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0509136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked J.J. Wolf76c3,923$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.114,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Jay Dylan Friend6c3,543$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7523723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Jay Dylan Friend6c3,414$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Jay Dylan Friend42c2,951$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885b…a30dbacked Jay Dylan Friend11c2,846$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.152123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed J.J. Wolf73c2,191$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.214,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Jay Dylan Friend7c1,843$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0622123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed J.J. Wolf80c1,048$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.435,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked J.J. Wolf58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Jay Dylan Friend23c799.91$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9893557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed J.J. Wolf64c794$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8439759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Jay Dylan Friend22c784.27$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5471725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Jay Dylan Friend26c723.08$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a4…190ebacked J.J. Wolf79c597.57$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.577156.3%40 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Jay Dylan Friend22c454.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.998338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Jay Dylan Friend12c436.89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.123030.4%70 W · 160 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Jay Dylan Friend26c430.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7136342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Jay Dylan Friend5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Jay Dylan Friend24c386.21$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6912125.6%31 W · 90 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Jay Dylan Friend26c369.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Jay Dylan Friend23c300$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7094447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Jay Dylan Friend11c231$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9430931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed J.J. Wolf57c227.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Jay Dylan Friend26c203.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Jay Dylan Friend26c196.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Jay Dylan Friend22c182.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1419841.9%83 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed J.J. Wolf58c127.81$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6899249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f5…44f2backed Jay Dylan Friend22c126.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.92227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Jay Dylan Friend26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a1…d1eebacked Jay Dylan Friend26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307540%30 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Jay Dylan Friend26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jay Dylan Friend41c100.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Jay Dylan Friend22c99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7443144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Jay Dylan Friend16c78.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6324440.2%98 W · 146 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Jay Dylan Friend22c68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9612839.1%50 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Jay Dylan Friend22c68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9611837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Jay Dylan Friend21c65.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8528954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Jay Dylan Friend41c64.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.361,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed J.J. Wolf64c60.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6435558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Jay Dylan Friend21c59.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.371,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Jay Dylan Friend26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Jay Dylan Friend26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked J.J. Wolf79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.635149%25 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed J.J. Wolf59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.568430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed J.J. Wolf80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed J.J. Wolf59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.534359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked J.J. Wolf59c41.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0819852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed J.J. Wolf79c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Jay Dylan Friend34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed J.J. Wolf59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.925862.4%161 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Jay Dylan Friend41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1263537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed J.J. Wolf74c29.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x678a…05ffbacked Jay Dylan Friend43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212453.2%66 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked J.J. Wolf58c24.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5530055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed J.J. Wolf59c24.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.071,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jay Dylan Friend41c24.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked J.J. Wolf62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed J.J. Wolf64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked J.J. Wolf62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked J.J. Wolf77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4844051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked J.J. Wolf78c17.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7235461.3%217 W · 137 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x420f…9090backed J.J. Wolf60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811050%55 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a4f…5ec9backed J.J. Wolf78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.866858.8%40 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.