Fifa International · resolved market
Uzbekistan to score first vs. Colombia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd87f79663da73879c3a964c51bb6dcc2b9bc3e29f6e43b93dde0be1b6a87c1e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 80c | 1,278$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 710.89$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 465.82$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 20c | 426$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 405.06$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 334.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…2e69backed Yes | 33c | 298.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 80c | 271.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 69c | 240.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 21c | 180.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 160.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 80c | 156$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 156$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 155.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 132$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 126.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 80c | 122.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…bec8backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…23d2backed Yes | 21c | 92.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 80c | 82.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…dcaebacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 19c | 59.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…089ebacked Yes | 26c | 57.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…8acdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…3b83backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 46.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 24.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uzbekistan to score first vs. Colombia?this page
- Colombia to score first vs. Uzbekistan?Yes won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.