Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia to score first vs. Uzbekistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0a61a7ea1e74928c1c565c2a49770b73be6f19fc6f9519fb55fa48a3d1d708b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 26c | 3,319$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,033$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.62 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 26c | 847.34$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.43 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 3c | 714.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…a88ebacked Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 26c | 482.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 26c | 453.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 415.36$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 26c | 405.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 74c | 372.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…8b3ebacked Yes | 74c | 236.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 26c | 160.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…0d79backed Yes | 77c | 157.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 25c | 149.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 71c | 126.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 26c | 122.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 26c | 108.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 26c | 106.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…0875backed Yes | 74c | 88.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 75c | 81.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 77.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…5b3cbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…5d63backed Yes | 75c | 58.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…f071backed Yes | 74c | 53.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…3793backed Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d1…c00cbacked Yes | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…5cbabacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…eb43backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…f80ebacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…8738backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Yes | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…a9eabacked Yes | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…e395backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…25babacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…aa14backed Yes | 75c | 21.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…fe6abacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…0db7backed Yes | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e0…0617backed Yes | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…b10cbacked Yes | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia to score first vs. Uzbekistan?this page
- Uzbekistan to score first vs. Colombia?No won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.