Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8a60182f4a966c5de1386cf33fd4437090013d5198bf3239be288f93f779500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 61c | 5,765$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.93 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 2,963$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.98 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 2,686$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.01 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 1,865$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.39 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 37c | 1,757$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 51c | 1,025$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.3 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 50c | 628.71$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.36 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 50c | 602.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 598.62$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.15 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 587.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 514.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 511.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 8c | 446.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Under | 51c | 438.43$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 346$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 54c | 304.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.13 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 299.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 142.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 50c | 133.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 110.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…d871backed Over | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 33c | 92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 89.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…db98backed Over | 50c | 66.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 50c | 58.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Over | 50c | 56.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 22c | 54.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 59.1%137 W · 95 L | -19.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 50c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Team to AdvanceFK Jablonec won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.