Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e91d1582cc84807d9309f52204feff8cd9156157c226fbdedd3268fd87e2a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Jablonecof FK Jablonec, Rangers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed FK Jablonec | 22c | 1,249$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.98 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK Jablonec | 21c | 1,012$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.35 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Rangers FC | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Rangers FC | 79c | 951$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.29 | 251 | 41%103 W · 148 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Rangers FC | 78c | 894.13$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.95 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Jablonec | 25c | 851.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.68 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FK Jablonec | 23c | 519.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Rangers FC | 76c | 499.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Rangers FC | 50c | 444.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked FK Jablonec | 21c | 426.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Rangers FC | 77c | 389.43$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FK Jablonec | 49c | 322.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 354 | 46.9%166 W · 188 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Jablonec | 24c | 273.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Rangers FC | 78c | 272.61$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FK Jablonec | 50c | 243$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Rangers FC | 79c | 214.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rangers FC | 50c | 142.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…9efdbacked Rangers FC | 79c | 123.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked FK Jablonec | 35c | 113.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Rangers FC | 79c | 111.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Jablonec | 21c | 87.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed FK Jablonec | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Rangers FC | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Rangers FC | 62c | 64.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Rangers FC | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked FK Jablonec | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…6b9abacked Rangers FC | 79c | 60.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Rangers FC | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Rangers FC | 79c | 47.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Rangers FC | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FK Jablonec | 25c | 44.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rangers FC | 50c | 40.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…6e2dbacked FK Jablonec | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed Rangers FC | 77c | 39.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Jablonec | 32c | 38.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Rangers FC | 77c | 37.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Rangers FC | 75c | 36.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1bb7backed Rangers FC | 77c | 30.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed FK Jablonec | 60c | 28.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed FK Jablonec | 65c | 25.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Rangers FC | 44c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…7b76backed FK Jablonec | 61c | 16.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rangers FC | 76c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Team to Advancethis page
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.