Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe010b8a8a5233b5856fccf879592723e4874beee46d07d7aab30ab3b24ad5c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 57c | 6,557$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.96 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 4,429$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.32 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 65c | 3,070$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 2,642$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.74 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 70c | 1,500$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.77 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 40c | 1,189$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.7 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 864.71$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 437.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 48c | 211.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 149.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 38c | 109$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 42c | 100.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 251 | 49.4%124 W · 127 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 99.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 56c | 88.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 354 | 46.9%166 W · 188 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 232 | 59.1%137 W · 95 L | -19.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 44.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 43.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 470 | 36%169 W · 301 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 61c | 40.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…fec3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 76c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Over | 42c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: Team to AdvanceFK Jablonec won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.