CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c8cc4a2f2a52dec69cca3834e67c68e3dbeb806536cb91da0ec797c5cbf850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, Phantom Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Phantom Academy | 12c | 414.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom Academy | 24c | 346.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 323.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Fire Flux Esports | 78c | 276.1$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 343 | 56.6%194 W · 149 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 242.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom Academy | 32c | 126.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Phantom Academy | 22c | 124.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom Academy | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fire Flux Esports | 72c | 102.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…0953backed Phantom Academy | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom Academy | 24c | 90.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Phantom Academy | 41c | 88.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 321 | 58.3%187 W · 134 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Phantom Academy | 22c | 69.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Phantom Academy | 22c | 63.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Phantom Academy | 33c | 62.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 72c | 59.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Phantom Academy | 39c | 50.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phantom Academy | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom Academy | 42c | 33.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Fire Flux Esports | 76c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Phantom Academy | 41c | 27.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 27.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Phantom Academy | 40c | 27.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Phantom Academy | 43c | 23.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 70c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Phantom Academy - Map 2 Winner Phantom Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.