Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Marie Bouzkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8cbd2aa789e9e47b054df094229e02c99d6de776bfb1ca1a4e661537a03cac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marie Bouzkovaof Lucia Bronzetti, Marie Bouzkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucia Bronzetti | 11c | 4,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbd…e1e3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 27c | 3,452$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.97 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Lucia Bronzetti | 2c | 3,332$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marie Bouzkova | 73c | 3,252$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.15 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucia Bronzetti | 17c | 1,588$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Lucia Bronzetti | 2c | 1,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 999.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 819.67$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 583.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Lucia Bronzetti | 16c | 416$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lucia Bronzetti | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lucia Bronzetti | 8c | 329.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 320$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lucia Bronzetti | 20c | 310$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Lucia Bronzetti | 21c | 299.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd60…ae98backed Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 289.87$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 256.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 20c | 239.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 8c | 235.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucia Bronzetti | 10c | 209.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 169.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 10c | 165.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Lucia Bronzetti | 30c | 162.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 129.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 11c | 106.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucia Bronzetti | 17c | 88.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 61.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 54.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lucia Bronzetti | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lucia Bronzetti | 21c | 47.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lucia Bronzetti | 23c | 45.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…f09abacked Marie Bouzkova | 78c | 38.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…8a9bbacked Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Marie Bouzkova | 70c | 28.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Marie Bouzkova | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked Marie Bouzkova | 75c | 24.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Marie Bouzkova | 76c | 21.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 18.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Marie Bouzkova | 80c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.