Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Aldershot 2 Women: Alana Smith vs Julia Avdeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8e8a2c04b8dcb6b3212bad584741be063f3c496c9f3bac6b4cf472714907cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alana Smithof Alana Smith, Julia Avdeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julia Avdeeva | 15c | 2,543$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Julia Avdeeva | 51c | 1,857$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.16 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Julia Avdeeva | 64c | 1,687$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.61 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Julia Avdeeva | 48c | 1,595$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.57 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Julia Avdeeva | 76c | 671.36$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.23 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alana Smith | 35c | 600$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.41 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Julia Avdeeva | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Alana Smith | 71c | 362.58$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Julia Avdeeva | 24c | 352.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alana Smith | 35c | 316.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.49 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 286.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Julia Avdeeva | 21c | 266.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Julia Avdeeva | 11c | 254.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Julia Avdeeva | 11c | 249.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alana Smith | 24c | 223.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Alana Smith | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Julia Avdeeva | 12c | 204.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Alana Smith | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alana Smith | 36c | 189.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Julia Avdeeva | 8c | 188.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Alana Smith | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 158.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Julia Avdeeva | 64c | 133.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Julia Avdeeva | 75c | 132.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Alana Smith | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Alana Smith | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Alana Smith | 36c | 104$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 18c | 103.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Alana Smith | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Julia Avdeeva | 56c | 98.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Julia Avdeeva | 79c | 89.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Alana Smith | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Alana Smith | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alana Smith | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Alana Smith | 68c | 71.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 66.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 58.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Alana Smith | 36c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alana Smith | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Alana Smith | 36c | 53.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Julia Avdeeva | 60c | 45.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…06a4backed Alana Smith | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803e…7331backed Alana Smith | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Alana Smith | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed Alana Smith | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julia Avdeeva | 49c | 41.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 40.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Julia Avdeeva | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alana Smith | 55c | 39.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Alana Smith | 65c | 38.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Alana Smith | 36c | 32.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Alana Smith | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Alana Smith | 40c | 25.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Julia Avdeeva | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julia Avdeeva | 52c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 64c | 18.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.