CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f8260c2baaaf278c96f7be04803b86f8b8ca367af6aa641301b8d7a83fcb26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 9zof 9z, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR | 70c | 10,000$6,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,982.9 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 9z | 30c | 7,791$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.88 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR | 35c | 6,643$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.31 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed 9z | 65c | 4,671$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.86 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIBR | 38c | 4,258$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.86 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 32c | 2,701$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.66 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 9z | 74c | 2,432$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.39 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 31c | 1,606$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.54 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed 9z | 32c | 1,005$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.4 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked 9z | 39c | 248.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed MIBR | 61c | 248.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed 9z | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked 9z | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked MIBR | 68c | 165.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked 9z | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed MIBR | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…6972backed MIBR | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked 9z | 57c | 133.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed MIBR | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked 9z | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed MIBR | 69c | 71.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed MIBR | 45c | 71.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed 9z | 33c | 68.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed 9z | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed 9z | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked MIBR | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked MIBR | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 9z | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 42c | 40.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed MIBR | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MIBR | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed MIBR | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked MIBR | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed MIBR | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 67.9%133 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed MIBR | 67c | 28.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…b1d4backed MIBR | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MIBR | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 521 | 44.7%233 W · 288 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed MIBR | 70c | 17.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed MIBR | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage9z won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.