CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a777fd42fce09175a135e3ac32fbc01435df82ada45500d056968e474abe95f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 4,559$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.07 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 34c | 4,344$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.43 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 46c | 4,053$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 32c | 3,708$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 61c | 3,603$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.53 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 75c | 2,970$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.27 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 35c | 1,320$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.22 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 26c | 859$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 46c | 649.68$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 631$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.71 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 47c | 419$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 50c | 387$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Over | 49c | 313.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 12c | 307.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Under | 52c | 286.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 261.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 67c | 261$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 46c | 251$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 248.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Under | 53c | 189.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 178.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Over | 31c | 156.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 18c | 155.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 133.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 67c | 105.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 52c | 103.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over | 49c | 98.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 51c | 98.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 51c | 91.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 38c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 79.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed Over | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 51c | 74.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Over | 34c | 65.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 58.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 20c | 50.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 63c | 48.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…2dcfbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…1d52backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…631bbacked Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 33c | 36.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Over | 66c | 30.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 28.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3266…589bbacked Over | 46c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Under | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage9z won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 9z - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)MIBR won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.