CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Misa Esports (BO5) - TESFED League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd951298eb567c5b56e1de9545ba6a2dfd21a915c781f893b14fb6a2e244cca26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof WRAITH PCIFIC, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports | 1c | 1,125$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.67 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Misa Esports | 45c | 653.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.12 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 77c | 626.42$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.43 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 2c | 544$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 67c | 424.52$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 44c | 415.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 75c | 399.89$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.45 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 29c | 352.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 68c | 295.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Misa Esports | 28c | 281.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 63c | 232.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…1d37backed Misa Esports | 49c | 218.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 55c | 206.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Misa Esports | 6c | 193.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 192.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 59c | 186.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 181.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 63c | 159.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 72c | 159.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 37c | 157.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 46c | 131.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 62c | 119.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 22c | 110.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Misa Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Misa Esports | 32c | 94.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 60c | 90.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Misa Esports | 37c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…4fcfbacked Misa Esports | 60c | 66.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 63.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Misa Esports | 37c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 20c | 60.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…5b15backed Misa Esports | 50c | 59.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Misa Esports | 38c | 53.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Misa Esports | 33c | 52.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 51c | 51.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Misa Esports | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 62c | 46.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 47c | 45.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 39.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…14e7backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 66c | 39.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc010…f4adbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 55c | 38.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 38c | 37.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Misa Esports | 56c | 33.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 44c | 32.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…04a5backed Misa Esports | 72c | 31.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 41c | 30.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Misa Esports | 54c | 26.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…92adbacked WRAITH PCIFIC | 72c | 21.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed WRAITH PCIFIC | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Misa Esports (BO5) - TESFED League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerWRAITH PCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Misa Esports - Map 3 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Misa Esports - Map 4 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.