TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INTZ e-Sportsof INTZ e-Sports, Estral Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20f6…0f69backed Estral Esports2c12,151$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.762466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked INTZ e-Sports75c7,983$5,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.2463352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Estral Esports46c3,930$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.851,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Estral Esports1c2,347$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.471,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Estral Esports18c2,158$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9567931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Estral Esports31c1,817$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.226443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed INTZ e-Sports19c1,766$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.453863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed INTZ e-Sports19c1,513$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.981,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed INTZ e-Sports19c1,500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.972,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Estral Esports38c1,417$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.6444042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Estral Esports80c1,022$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.7811361.9%70 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Estral Esports33c1,020$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4999338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked INTZ e-Sports43c901.34$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.626448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked INTZ e-Sports20c726.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4416352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked INTZ e-Sports66c506.95$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.913467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Estral Esports44c449.78$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1211111.7%13 W · 98 L-17.1wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-78.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Estral Esports44c437.25$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4732566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked INTZ e-Sports49c419.29$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0156341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Estral Esports50c407.3$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7713761.3%84 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked INTZ e-Sports49c392.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3412642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Estral Esports50c387.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.041,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed INTZ e-Sports68c350.31$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.631,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Estral Esports46c349.8$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.98236.6%30 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed INTZ e-Sports63c345.46$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.251,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Estral Esports80c340.95$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.761,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Estral Esports23c339.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.711,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea4b…9531backed INTZ e-Sports20c324.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+77.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked INTZ e-Sports17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2491,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked INTZ e-Sports19c231.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.927160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceb4…c08dbacked Estral Esports79c217.28$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Estral Esports36c211.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.261,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Estral Esports44c198.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1821749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b3…de25backed Estral Esports30c192.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.787341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Estral Esports80c192.66$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1364443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked INTZ e-Sports19c182$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4210165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Estral Esports45c181.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8741945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Estral Esports45c178.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.571,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked INTZ e-Sports60c162.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.391,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed INTZ e-Sports42c162.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4250647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Estral Esports59c157.72$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5174344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb4…6884backed Estral Esports27c156.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.044022.5%9 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Estral Esports32c153.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.715823.4%37 W · 121 L-21.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Estral Esports31c151.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.441,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed INTZ e-Sports57c146.15$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2820756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked INTZ e-Sports19c141$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2153649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed INTZ e-Sports18c141$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6210355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Estral Esports70c135.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2519257.8%111 W · 81 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed INTZ e-Sports18c129.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.131,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Estral Esports32c129$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.933124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed INTZ e-Sports19c125$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2541544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc221…fe97backed INTZ e-Sports41c117.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.755154.9%28 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Estral Esports43c116.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.385952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed INTZ e-Sports21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.41,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed INTZ e-Sports22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7858042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed INTZ e-Sports67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3317543.4%76 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked INTZ e-Sports20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8063646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed INTZ e-Sports67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3338743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Estral Esports80c99.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8314545.5%66 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed INTZ e-Sports19c99.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.214759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked INTZ e-Sports20c98.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9292450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked INTZ e-Sports19c96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.765453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed INTZ e-Sports20c93.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.875848.3%28 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed INTZ e-Sports18c82.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8314561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed INTZ e-Sports19c82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4226856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d19…296ebacked INTZ e-Sports20c81.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4735146.2%162 W · 189 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed INTZ e-Sports61c80.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1828855.9%161 W · 127 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed INTZ e-Sports19c80$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.818141.4%75 W · 106 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Estral Esports80c79.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6214846.6%69 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked INTZ e-Sports19c78.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.447444.1%209 W · 265 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed INTZ e-Sports55c76.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6532650%163 W · 163 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked INTZ e-Sports20c76.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.46043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed INTZ e-Sports41c75.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6857349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked INTZ e-Sports35c72.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.77935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Estral Esports26c68.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.836530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b3…5252backed Estral Esports80c61.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.44153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Estral Esports39c60.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5622758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cf6…b5dabacked INTZ e-Sports21c59.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+369.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…ad57backed Estral Esports32c59.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.191546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc2…d305backed INTZ e-Sports51c56.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.923847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Estral Esports52c56.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.139345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed INTZ e-Sports67c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4818038.9%70 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked INTZ e-Sports20c55.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.255143.1%22 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed INTZ e-Sports21c54.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7829948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ced8backed Estral Esports72c52.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5232371.2%230 W · 93 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked INTZ e-Sports45c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3625331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed INTZ e-Sports67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.535048%168 W · 182 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Estral Esports24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…b1aebacked INTZ e-Sports57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.082619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Estral Esports76c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4815370.6%108 W · 45 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked INTZ e-Sports42c46.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1433042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed INTZ e-Sports67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1834235.7%122 W · 220 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed INTZ e-Sports50c42.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0226453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Estral Esports57c40.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3995048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba2…db37backed INTZ e-Sports48c40.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked INTZ e-Sports66c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4125340.7%103 W · 150 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Estral Esports34c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5615017.3%26 W · 124 L-26.8wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-61.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed Estral Esports43c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.647244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Estral Esports64c34.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.02580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd18c…bae2backed Estral Esports58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed INTZ e-Sports55c32.6$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.676653%35 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.